Long post by Corporal Frisk again regarding HX:
HX Shifting GearsThe HX program has shifted gear into the next phase, as all five contenders returned their answers to the first round of the RFQ (for those needing a primer on the process, see this post). As noted all five are still in the race, but a few notable events have taken place.
https://corporalfrisk.com/2019/03/02/hx-shifting-gears/Some key points by the good corporal:
HX in general- All five still in the race
- both the Air Force chief and the chief of defense retire soon but this "likely won’t affect the HX program in any meaningful way"
- The need for Finland to ensure that we aren’t the sole operator of the HX towards the end of it’s operational life highlighted recently, yet again, but not a surprise
F-35- LM tight-lipped about the deal since it is negotiated on US-Finland government level. One anecdote is that it still isn't confirmed that
A version is on the table and there's a theoretical possibility for the
C- While questions regarding ALIS exist, Frisk's personal opinion is that recent LHD deployment with 75% availability rate was very impressive and is a "strong sign of maturity"
- F-35 no longer has perfect competition record due to Germany, but that decision was highly political
Eurofighter- Mentions Germany blocking arms sales to Saudis despite UK/France pressure. While done for valid reasons (Yemen, Khashoggi), this raises certain question regarding Berlin's stance in a Germany-Finland-Russia geopolitical arc (hello Nord Stream 2)
- Spain's unilateral EF T1 upgrade path is a mixed bag: good because it shows EF's independent upgradeability, bad - ..., well because it needed to happen and because the fate of EF T1 of other users does not inspire confidence.
Gripen E/F- SAAB offers 4:1 one:two-seater ratio, because of "other drivers for and needs of a two-seat aircraft configuration in combination with the more traditional training-related benefits" (
my comment: so much for the "smart fighter" advertisment)
- SAAB offers domestic production
- SAAB has a stronger local footprint than others
Super Hornet/Growler- Boeing also not very vocal, but apparently tells a little more/better than LM, several strong selling points, including, accroding to Boeing, "Block 3 SH sensor fusion as good as F-35"
- also strong local presence, including several former Finnish mil people on the team
- Questions remain regarding service in 2060 timeframe
- Promises of local assembly and upgradeability
Rafale- Dassault keeps low profile in the media
- Recent "unrelated" winter testing done in Finland is probably not a coincidence