mixelflick wrote:ricnunes wrote:Yes, France/Dassault (and not only) needs to move on and develop a completely new (and VLO) fighter aircraft. Rafale like any other 4th/4.5th gen fighter aircraft are becoming and inevitably will be a thing of the past.
I used to believe this too, but now I'm not so sure.
For countries with the $, experience and expertise I think you're 100% correct. But I also think many of these 3rd world nations will struggle fielding a stealth fighter. Even one which has been designed, test flown and has an excellent pilot training program like the F-35. Even if the pilots manage to master it, you've got to afford flying and fighting with it, train the maintainers and manage the repairs/preventative maintenance that come with that territory.
The F-35 was a quantum leap in that regard (making it easier), but it's still a tall order for many countries. Some of them will still be flying Mig-21's or possibly F-5E's so just imagine the jump in cost/complexity. Look at Pakistan. They're clearly looking to field a small number of near 5th gen fighters (J-10C's), but also field many more JF-17's. In fact the JF-17 seems to encapsulate this dynamic, pairing a fairly mundane 4th gen airframe with 5th gen avionics/weapons.
Well just because there will be (likely many) countries - 3rd world countries, BTW - that for some reason won't be able to purchase 5th gen fighter aircraft (at least in the next decades) and thus will probably buy 4/4.5th gen fighter aircraft doesn't mean that these same 4/4.5th gen fighter aircraft aren't starting to become obsolete and will inevitably become obsolete quite soon (well within the next decade or so).
But does this mean that you want your country to follow the path above? Or do you think that the path above is viable for 1st world countries that desire to have a 1st rate Air Force? These are rhetoric questions, BTW.
Let me give you an example: Brazil.
When everyone in the first world back in the 1980's or so was acquiring 4th gen fighter aircraft (F-16s, F/A-18s, you name it) Brazil kept flying their 2nd gen Mirage III and 3rd gen F-5 fighter aircraft. Later they retired their Mirage IIIs and kept their 3rd gen F-5's which in the meanwhile, were updated. Currently their fighter force is still composed by these same F-5 3rd gen fighter aircraft when and once again, basically all 1st world countries that operates fighter aircraft have been operating 4th gen fighter aircraft for decades (and a considerable number of these countries are already replacing them with 5th gen F-35s).
And it's only now and after 2021 that Brazil started to field their first 4th gen fighter aircraft, the Gripen E. So yes, there will be countries (like Brazil) that won't operate 5th gen fighter aircraft for many decades to come and will probably do it only after more developed 1st world countries start to field 6th gen fighter aircraft (whatever that might be) and as such do 1st world countries like France want to have a 1st rate Air Force with 5th gen fighter aircraft or do they want to have a 2nd/3rd rate Air Force like most 3rd world countries? Another rhetoric question.
mixelflick wrote:I guess time will tell...
Please excuse my presumption but I don't need time to tell me the obvious

“Active stealth” is what the ignorant nay sayers call ECM and pretend like it’s new.