
ricnunes wrote:As you can see in the document above (page 54), apparently 2615 JSOW C and C-1 were planned to be procured but more have been procured (3185) compared to what was initially planned (2615).
Total unitary quantity was to be 7000 units (pg 19): a mix of C and C-1 with the vast majority (5500) being C-1.
That's completely consistent with the earlier SARs and the FY2013 budget shown above.
That did not happen. They ended up with 1676 C-1s and 1509 Cs.
That's a program (C-1) where acquisition was killed nearly a decade earlier than planned
and where production annual production quantities barely exceeded the minimum sustainable
quantity.
ricnunes wrote:At this point, I clearly believe that the accurate terms isn't "killed" but instead "the production was stopped/finished".
The production was aborted and the line was to be shutdown.
And it's completely consistent with what I've said from the beginning: Killing the buy doesn't mean the weapon isn't fielded.
ricnunes wrote:The DoD seems happy with the Navy having an inventory of ~1600 JSOW-C1s and indeed and while not being the 5168 units that I previously mentioned, it's still a very respectable and 'sufficient' inventory, specially if it ends up being used exclusively (or almost exclusively) by the F-35C fleet.
Yet the Navy viewed 5500 C-1s as the inventory requirement. What changed?
Per the FY2016 budget above, better weapons i.e. JASSM-MI aka LRASM which the Navy declined to
procure before it un-declined.
JSOW incurred a Nunn-McCurdy breach as a result of the quantity truncation which programs don't do for fun.
ricnunes wrote:Also IMO, it's probable/likely that the JSOW C-1 will be superseded by the JSOW-ER which could be another reason why no more JSOW C-1s (or any other gliding JSOW variants) are to be procured.
They had line shutdown costs in the SAR and in the FY2016 budget. That was to be it for JSOW after FY2015.
JSOW-ER is a new weapon that was not part of the plan; no sane program plans to incur a *seven* year gap in production
between the last JSOW-C1 in FY2015 and the first JSOW-ER in FY2022.