
count_to_10 wrote:Probably not. By the time a real stealthy threat arises, weapon advances will likely make kinematics mostly irrelevant, as no amount of maneuvering will allow you to escape once you are anywhere near visual range. It will be counter-measure-on-counter-meassure, with the aircraft trying to make themselves as inconspicuous as possible.
That is a possibility, if ultra long range directed energy weapons become a reality then no one can maneuver away from a beam type weapon.
On the other hand the immediate future could be the exact opposite, guided missiles may be less and less effective shortly,
DFRM jammers are already predicted to make current Advanced radar guided A-A missiles blind, and DIRCM can already blind even the best Focal plane arrey sensors.
So in contrast to your prediction, we may see a future where the most effective A-A weapon may once again be the gun.
Ofcorse all of these are guess works for now.