Forum: General F-35 Forum

F-35: Most Popular Myths



Search Search  Register Register  Private Messages Private Messages
guidelines Forum Guidelines
Post new topic   Reply to topic   Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 ... 9  Next
View previous topic Log in to check your private messages View next topic
Poll
What's your favorite F-35 myth?
The F-35 is too slow!!!
14%
 14%  [ 6 ]
The F-35 does not stealth... good.
4%
 4%  [ 2 ]
Is Multirole and therefore sucks. Because... just because.
16%
 16%  [ 7 ]
The f/a22 is teh better than f35 baby seal in every way ever
9%
 9%  [ 4 ]
Will be crush by MIGHTY T-50 PAK FA!!!!1~ also J-20
26%
 26%  [ 11 ]
Legacy aircraft are better since they can carry stuff on the outside for some reason.
11%
 11%  [ 5 ]
The F-35 is unique in being behind schedule and over budget. (Definitely never happened before)
16%
 16%  [ 7 ]
Total Votes : 42


Author Message
shingen
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 03:55 AM Reply with quote Back to top
Forum Veteran
Forum Veteran


Joined: Jan 30, 2010 - 03:27 AM
Posts: 570
Location: California
Status: Offline
The cost of the system doubles every ten years. If an F-16C cost 30 million in 1990 then an F-35 to fill the same role should cost 120 million. You either get that or you don't. There's a historical trend that no one has found an alternative to and it's not for lack of trying. The only alternative that makes any sense is a small "big war" military and a larger "small war" and peacekeeping, anti-piracy, terrorism everything else military. That isn't a procurement issue, it's an issue of reforming the entire DoD.
 View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website  
 
Sponsor
New postPosted: May 21, 2013 - 6:29 PM Back to top
F-16.net Sponsor





  Send private message  
 
m
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 03:57 AM Reply with quote Back to top
Forum Veteran
Forum Veteran


Joined: Jan 01, 2011 - 11:40 PM
Posts: 623
Location: NL
Status: Offline
geogen wrote:
m,

With all respect, most level observers of the F-35 Program to date understand very well that the original 'advertisements' of 2,440 and 3,000+ F-35s produced etc, is a major component of the inherent Program flaw. Most level observers understand that when FRP is actually declared, perhaps 2017, 2018(?), that annual FRP production rates will be far lower than the currently assumed and advertised pre-conceived numbers. Ditto, the inherent flaw comment.

A level minded observer of the grossly underestimated actual F-22 unit price hikes, which were grossly underestimated as late as 2005-2006, can apply that lesson and example also to the inevitable grossly underestimated expectations and assumptions related to F-35's affordable and sustainable unit procurement costs once the inevitable drop in annual orders come into play. That should have been evident and been a main-stream assessment for some time now - it would have been helpful for strategic planning.

We now unfortunately have the additional underestimated global fiscal and financial component to factor in, which will only further constrain budget appropriations in the near-future further challenging the already unsustainable plan. God speed...


UK: 150 > 138. Now: may be 40?
If this will be the number, 70%-75% less!

As an example, this is quite a lot when a client will order that much
less and counting a prize for a product by a company.
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
battleshipagincourt
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 04:30 AM Reply with quote Back to top
Senior member
Senior member


Joined: Jan 04, 2011 - 12:30 AM
Posts: 331

Status: Offline
quicksilver wrote:

F-16 was originally an 800-900 aircraft program and they're now at 4500. Good that they didn't declare failure early in that program when they had production problems...or when the grandstand experts declared fly-by-wire a failure...or when they said F-18 had too much glass in the cockpit...or when they said that they had too much plastic (composite)... and on and on and on.


Except that the F-16 was a tremendous success from start to finish. Unlike the F-35, this remarkable fighter won out on its sheer simplicity. Unlike the F-35, the Falcon didn't need an extensive development program for testing and retesting completely new systems... actually costing much less to design in comparison. There was never really a point in the program when the F-16 ever started failing to meet its objectives or going significantly over budget.

How exactly are you trying to compare these aircraft? The only thing they seem to have in common are their origins as a supplement to a big brother air superiority fighter, the F-15 and F-22 respectively. That's where the similarities end, as the F-35 has since gone on its own path.
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
Prinz_Eugn
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 04:38 AM Reply with quote Back to top
Forum Veteran
Forum Veteran


Joined: Aug 03, 2008 - 04:35 AM
Posts: 859

Status: Offline
geogen wrote:
m,

With all respect, most level observers of the F-35 Program to date understand very well that the original 'advertisements' of 2,440 and 3,000+ F-35s produced etc, is a major component of the inherent Program flaw. Most level observers understand that when FRP is actually declared, perhaps 2017, 2018(?), that annual FRP production rates will be far lower than the currently assumed and advertised pre-conceived numbers. Ditto, the inherent flaw comment.

A level minded observer of the grossly underestimated actual F-22 unit price hikes, which were grossly underestimated as late as 2005-2006, can apply that lesson and example also to the inevitable grossly underestimated expectations and assumptions related to F-35's affordable and sustainable unit procurement costs once the inevitable drop in annual orders come into play. That should have been evident and been a main-stream assessment for some time now - it would have been helpful for strategic planning.

We now unfortunately have the additional underestimated global fiscal and financial component to factor in, which will only further constrain budget appropriations in the near-future further challenging the already unsustainable plan. God speed...


I've come to terms with the fact that the F-35 is going to be more expensive than originally hoped, and probably be procured in smaller numbers than anticipated (I think UAS's might have more to do with that than cost problems in the end). However, I think the cost is going to be within disaster limits, and that the program will be ultimately successful. We have little choice- but then again, testing is progressing better than the ultimate fiasco announcements that emanate weekly from some media outlets...

Even if it's a partial success compared to the original lofty goals, it's going to be a real-life success since it's going to producing extremely capable aircraft at a proportional cost in large numbers. It's going to cost more like an F-22 than an F-16, but capability-wise it's also a lot closer to an F-22 than an F-16. I think it's going to be a fair- if not fantastic- deal.

_________________
"A visitor from Mars could easily pick out the civilized nations. They have the best implements of war."
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
Prinz_Eugn
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 05:32 AM Reply with quote Back to top
Forum Veteran
Forum Veteran


Joined: Aug 03, 2008 - 04:35 AM
Posts: 859

Status: Offline
battleshipagincourt wrote:
Except that the F-16 was a tremendous success from start to finish. Unlike the F-35, this remarkable fighter won out on its sheer simplicity. Unlike the F-35, the Falcon didn't need an extensive development program for testing and retesting completely new systems... actually costing much less to design in comparison. There was never really a point in the program when the F-16 ever started failing to meet its objectives or going significantly over budget.

How exactly are you trying to compare these aircraft? The only thing they seem to have in common are their origins as a supplement to a big brother air superiority fighter, the F-15 and F-22 respectively. That's where the similarities end, as the F-35 has since gone on its own path.


The F-16 had its own share of problems. You seem to live in a dreamy world where everything in the past went just swell right away. Wrong. You just don't about the problems because they're buried under the current success. Reduced static stability and FBW were risky. The entire concept was questionable- a light day fighter. Originally it was to have a range-only radar (if that), and no air to ground capability. There were crashes due to engine problems... etc.

If you ask Pierre Sprey or Winslow Wheeler, the originators of the concept, the F-16 is a conceptual failure since those damned services decided a Radar and multirole capability would be a good idea.

So if you think the F-16 was an instant, completely obvious success, you're wrong.

Here's another classic GAO report that might give you a hint about how things actually went back in the day (skip to page 5 to get to the good parts):http://archive.gao.gov/f0902c/105793.pdf

_________________
"A visitor from Mars could easily pick out the civilized nations. They have the best implements of war."
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
Conan
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 06:59 AM Reply with quote Back to top
Forum Veteran
Forum Veteran


Joined: Apr 27, 2007 - 08:23 AM
Posts: 964

Status: Offline
butters wrote:
No need. I already know that fanboyitis renders its victims utterly immune to the unhappy shock that so often accompanies the cold splash of uncaring reality...

Watching you guys reminds me of nothing so much as watching the equally fervid Noah's Ark fanboys with their painstakingly concocted logistics charts, fallacious arguments about 'kinds', and the 'working 'scale models'of their Joke of a Silly Fantasy...

True Believers... Rolling Eyes


Yeah quite correct, we should all be arguing in the Carlo fashion, of making your personal favourite look huge in comparison to your least favourite I guess, eh?

So I guess it should look like this:

F-35 is only this good.

But SU-35 is this good

Therefore SU-35 beats silly "Just So Flawed" 1000-1 every time in our wargaming exchanges...

Right?

Rolling Eyes
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
shep1978
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 09:45 AM Reply with quote Back to top
Elite 1K
Elite 1K


Joined: Apr 04, 2009 - 05:00 PM
Posts: 1395
Location: UK
Status: Offline
m wrote:

Everyone has got to be glad, the US is the lead level partner.
Otherwise the project would have became a complete disaster like European projects.


I couldn't agree more, BAE systems would have really made a balls up of this if they were in charge as they do with just about every program they're put in charge. Absolute cretins those people are ripping of the UK tax payer over and over and over again.
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
shep1978
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 09:51 AM Reply with quote Back to top
Elite 1K
Elite 1K


Joined: Apr 04, 2009 - 05:00 PM
Posts: 1395
Location: UK
Status: Offline
Prinz_Eugn wrote:


The F-16 had its own share of problems. You seem to live in a dreamy world where everything in the past went just swell right away. Wrong.


Seconding that! I seem to remember the critics saying the F-16, F-15, M-1 tank, AH-64, Bradley IFV and others were all going to be colossal failures at the time of their service entry. How different reality was...
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
munny
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 10:35 AM Reply with quote Back to top
Forum Veteran
Forum Veteran


Joined: Jan 13, 2010 - 01:39 AM
Posts: 529

Status: Offline
I found this cute....

Quote:
The available data supports the proposition that the J-20, once fully developed, will be a high performance stealth aircraft, arguably capable of competing in most cardinal performance parameters (i.e. speed, altitude, stealth, agility) with the United States F-22A Raptor, and superior in most if not all cardinal performance parameters against the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter.


http://www.jamestown.org/programs/china ... c9d2deac3a

Makes you want to slap the guy and tell him to wake up to himself.
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
Corsair1963
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 11:36 AM Reply with quote Back to top
Elite 1K
Elite 1K


Joined: Dec 19, 2005 - 04:14 AM
Posts: 1907

Status: Offline
munny wrote:
I found this cute....

Quote:
The available data supports the proposition that the J-20, once fully developed, will be a high performance stealth aircraft, arguably capable of competing in most cardinal performance parameters (i.e. speed, altitude, stealth, agility) with the United States F-22A Raptor, and superior in most if not all cardinal performance parameters against the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter.


http://www.jamestown.org/programs/china ... c9d2deac3a

Makes you want to slap the guy and tell him to wake up to himself.




LOL LMAO
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
Corsair1963
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 11:39 AM Reply with quote Back to top
Elite 1K
Elite 1K


Joined: Dec 19, 2005 - 04:14 AM
Posts: 1907

Status: Offline
shep1978 wrote:
Prinz_Eugn wrote:


The F-16 had its own share of problems. You seem to live in a dreamy world where everything in the past went just swell right away. Wrong.


Seconding that! I seem to remember the critics saying the F-16, F-15, M-1 tank, AH-64, Bradley IFV and others were all going to be colossal failures at the time of their service entry. How different reality was...



VERY TRUE........I especially remember how both the F-16 and M-1 Tank were going to be huge failures! Wink

If, memory serves me 60 Minutes on CBS was extremely critical. Which, is no surprise from the Liberal Media.
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
madrat
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 12:18 PM Reply with quote Back to top
Forum Veteran
Forum Veteran


Joined: Mar 03, 2010 - 03:12 AM
Posts: 986

Status: Offline
Once you sling bombs under it then it no longer has ANY advantages over a legacy fighter! :}
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
munny
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 01:08 PM Reply with quote Back to top
Forum Veteran
Forum Veteran


Joined: Jan 13, 2010 - 01:39 AM
Posts: 529

Status: Offline
battleshipagincourt wrote:
When's the last time a program got away with going more than 50% over budget?



Hmm lets take a look at the program unit cost % increases of some current programs. But no, you're right, costs increases have never....ever happened in a military project.

http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d11233sp.pdf



Last edited by munny on Jun 02, 2011 - 01:13 PM; edited 1 time in total
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
m
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 01:11 PM Reply with quote Back to top
Forum Veteran
Forum Veteran


Joined: Jan 01, 2011 - 11:40 PM
Posts: 623
Location: NL
Status: Offline
madrat wrote:
Once you sling bombs under it then it no longer has ANY advantages over a legacy fighter! :}


How often you will see a f16, flying in Afghanistan for instance, with a more then 4000 pounds bomb load?
Including two Amraams or sidewinders, external tanks and extra pods!
Laser, recognizance pods etc. ALQ 131, or whatever, in this case not needed!

Don't expect F16's will fly in Libia with a much heavier bomb load either (?)
(Bombs, Amraams/Sidewinders, underwingtanks, probably two or three extra pods)


Stealth? Suppose pilots are the real pro’s to know what they need.
Legacy fighters have no change against sams, SA10 and higher, would be suicide.
The F35 will have a change, is expected, against at least SA20

Quote: Maj. Gen. Henrik Røboe Dam, the head of the Royal Danish Air Force's Tactical Air Command,
said that Danish pilots flying a squadron of six F-16s operating under the NATO-led "no-fly zone" mission
in Libya would benefit from having access to more advanced stealth technology than available to the updated F-16s.

The Air Force recognized, based on the experience gained from initial flight operations in Libya,
that having fighters with greater stealth qualities and technologies would make missions safer for pilots, Dam said.

"There is no doubt that if we had the availability of a fighter with stealth characteristics,
and difficult to track by radar, it would be a comfort-enhancing factor for pilots," Dam said.

http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?i=6165778
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
m
PostPosted: Jun 02, 2011 - 02:37 PM Reply with quote Back to top
Forum Veteran
Forum Veteran


Joined: Jan 01, 2011 - 11:40 PM
Posts: 623
Location: NL
Status: Offline
shep1978 wrote:
m wrote:

Everyone has got to be glad, the US is the lead level partner.
Otherwise the project would have became a complete disaster like European projects.


I couldn't agree more, BAE systems would have really made a balls up of this if they were in charge as they do with just about every program they're put in charge. Absolute cretins those people are ripping of the UK tax payer over and over and over again.


European (common) projects are not really that successful.
Especially when too many countries are involved.

Each of them having their own views about characteristics etc. does make
development of a common product very difficult (Frigate project)
Protecting their own industries in a project does also make it a lot more difficult.

A project like the F35 does make this a lot easier then most European projects.
Best tender, industry, gets a order and one “lead” level partner!


Wouldn’t say it’s not possible, but countries, above all, need the same views when cooperating in development of a new project.
Problem for the UK, they always will need major countries like France, Germany, Italy or Spain.

Small countries like the Dutch and the Scandinavian countries have a bit more in common
in their views with the UK.
Either they are too small and not relevant for the UK to cooperate with in major projects.

Canada however, same views, could be a very good partner developing a new frigate, as proposed by the UK.
Canada: 14? UK: ? May be 25 frigates together?


Concerning overrun budgets. The Dutch invested ±€700 million (20 NH 90’s)
Now they will cost them, till so far, almost €1,2 billion.
Eight of them, since this year, will be the original deal (2000: naval transport version)
Development of the intended naval transport version became too expensive: two times the original prize!

Last lessons, common projects, they will not join new common projects anymore.
Off the shelf now, or a reasonable change a project has a opportunity to succeed.
 View user's profile Send private message  
 
Display posts from previous:     
Jump to:  
All times are GMT + 1 Hour
Post new topic   Reply to topic
View previous topic Log in to check your private messages View next topic