| Author |
Message |
|
SpudmanWP
|
Posted: Aug 20, 2012 - 09:41 PM
|
|
|
Elite 3K

Joined: Oct 12, 2006 - 08:18 PM
Posts: 4274
Location: California
Status: Offline
|
Look at the quote
http://theaviationist.com/2012/02/08/f35-typhoon/
Quote:
less than the 79 million USD currently paid for the Eurofighter Typhoon
I think that refers to the then year cost of T1/2 EF's not future T3 buys.
The July 2012 contract is for 112 T3A fighters at 9 billion Euro, which is $11.107 billion USD, which is $99 million per EF. Tranche 3a will not have the E_Scan AESA radar.
http://www.fast-air.co.uk/typhoon-block ... e-summary/ |
_________________ "The early bird gets the worm but the second mouse gets the cheese."
|
|
|
|
 |
|
Sponsor
|
Posted: May 24, 2013 - 2:12 PM
|
|
|
F-16.net Sponsor
|
|
|
|
 |
|
cola
|
Posted: Aug 20, 2012 - 09:58 PM
|
|
|
Senior member

Joined: May 18, 2009 - 01:52 AM
Posts: 373
Status: Offline
|
Yes, it refers to T2.
T3 configuration is still vague (and we don't know what has been included in the contract), so I'm gonna refrain from making comments on it, but from what leaked so far it's still cheaper than F35's average URF.
But anyway, none of that matters since even if the F35 manages to sometimes somehow equal EF's average URF, it's gonna be on a 3k+ pieces production run, comparing to mere 600 in EF's case.
It's a five times difference, so what's your point? |
_________________ Cheers, Cola
|
|
|
|
 |
|
Thumper3181
|
Posted: Aug 20, 2012 - 10:28 PM
|
|
|
Forum Veteran

Joined: Jun 23, 2006 - 06:49 AM
Posts: 626
Status: Offline
|
|
cola wrote:
Yes, it refers to T2.
T3 configuration is still vague (and we don't know what has been included in the contract), so I'm gonna refrain from making comments on it, but from what leaked so far it's still cheaper than F35's average URF.
But anyway, none of that matters since even if the F35 manages to sometimes somehow equal EF's average URF, it's gonna be on a 3k+ pieces production run, comparing to mere 600 in EF's case.
It's a five times difference, so what's your point?
Nothing changes no matter how long you go away. Same trolls, same stupid posts. Lets try again.
The closest (and it is very close) analogy to the costs given in the NAO reports is unit flyaway costs. That number includes test, development, equipment and a bit of gas to fly. It also includes the engine.
https://acc.dau.mil/CommunityBrowser.aspx?id=243016
2012 flyway cost for 19 F-35A's is about 195M each. The total estimated portion of the development cost along with the equipment procurement is included in this price. For that number you get an F-35A with all the equipment and software ready to fly.
On the other hand. According to the NAO, page 26, figure 26, "estimated cost of Typhoon" under "assessment, development,
production and upgrade costs" you get an expected cost of almost 23 billion pounds for 160 aircraft. And that includes all the upgrades need to the fleet to make the plane do more than just go fast which was about all it could do when it was first fielded.
So do the math. At craft rates of 19 aircraft a year, the USAF is getting a far more versatile and capable system at a lower price than the RAF is getting on a 160 aircraft buy.
Moving on. Why would you cancel the F-35 now. Will it be closer to 100 million a copy in unit production? Probably. Has all the development risk been mitigated? Probably. Will it still be a front line aircraft long after anything else currently y flying is? Definitely.
So what is the alternative?
I await your lucid and reasoned reply Sodaboy. |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
neurotech
|
Posted: Aug 20, 2012 - 10:30 PM
|
|
|
Elite 1K

Joined: May 09, 2012 - 10:34 PM
Posts: 1261
Status: Offline
|
|
cola wrote:
Yes, it refers to T2.
T3 configuration is still vague (and we don't know what has been included in the contract), so I'm gonna refrain from making comments on it, but from what leaked so far it's still cheaper than F35's average URF.
But anyway, none of that matters since even if the F35 manages to sometimes somehow equal EF's average URF, it's gonna be on a 3k+ pieces production run, comparing to mere 600 in EF's case.
It's a five times difference, so what's your point?
EF isn't a carrier or STOVL jet. One reason why the F-35 costs get distorted is the difference between A/B/C models. The A model is cheaper, maybe not $65m cheap, but cheaper than the B/C models. The F/A-18F has AESA and has mature A/G capabilities compared to the EF T2.
Edit: The NAO report stated each jet cost GBP 73m for T2 aircraft. |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
cola
|
Posted: Aug 20, 2012 - 10:43 PM
|
|
|
Senior member

Joined: May 18, 2009 - 01:52 AM
Posts: 373
Status: Offline
|
|
Thumper3181 wrote:
The closest (and it is very close) analogy to the costs given in the NAO reports is unit flyaway costs. That number includes test, development, equipment and a bit of gas to fly. It also includes the engine.
No idea who you are, but you don't get basics.
Why posting then, in the first place? |
_________________ Cheers, Cola
|
|
|
|
 |
|
Thumper3181
|
Posted: Aug 20, 2012 - 10:56 PM
|
|
|
Forum Veteran

Joined: Jun 23, 2006 - 06:49 AM
Posts: 626
Status: Offline
|
|
cola wrote:
Thumper3181 wrote:
The closest (and it is very close) analogy to the costs given in the NAO reports is unit flyaway costs. That number includes test, development, equipment and a bit of gas to fly. It also includes the engine.
No idea who you are, but you don't get basics.
Why posting then, in the first place?
No, but I know who you are. You are a long time troll on this forum.
Look up the definition of flyaway cost. I gave you the link. This is a US government term that is closest in terms of the NAO's use of Unit Production Cost which is what they are using in their reports. The total unit production cost for all 160 Tiffies is just under 23billion pounds or $215million each.
If you cannot understand something that simple perhaps you should stop insinuating that if someone disagrees with you it is because they are daft. |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
cola
|
Posted: Aug 20, 2012 - 11:34 PM
|
|
|
Senior member

Joined: May 18, 2009 - 01:52 AM
Posts: 373
Status: Offline
|
So, I got my own private stalker, here...buddy, there's something seriously wrong with you.
Thumper3181 wrote:
Flyaway Cost (Rollaway, Sailaway, etc.) refers to the cost of procuring prime mission equipment (e.g., an aircraft, ship, tank, etc.). It is funded with Procurement appropriations and is part of the Investment cost category. Figure 1 shows that this term includes the WBS elements of Prime Mission Equipment, System Engineering/Program Management, System Test and Evaluation, Warranties, and Engineering Changes. (Note: DoD 5000.4-M defines flyaway cost as being funded out of the RDT&E and Procurement appropriations, but in practice, only the Procurement-funded portion of flyaway is considered relevant by decision-makers in DoD and in Congress.)
...and this is the part you see in Congressional annual reports, which I was referring to.
Are you stupid, or what?
If you got problems with the text, maybe you should try that nice big picture with a lot of squares, above the text. |
_________________ Cheers, Cola
|
|
|
|
 |
|
Thumper3181
|
Posted: Aug 21, 2012 - 12:17 AM
|
|
|
Forum Veteran

Joined: Jun 23, 2006 - 06:49 AM
Posts: 626
Status: Offline
|
|
SpudmanWP wrote:
Look at the quote
http://theaviationist.com/2012/02/08/f35-typhoon/
Quote:
less than the 79 million USD currently paid for the Eurofighter Typhoon
I think that refers to the then year cost of T1/2 EF's not future T3 buys.
The July 2012 contract is for 112 T3A fighters at 9 billion Euro, which is $11.107 billion USD, which is $99 million per EF. Tranche 3a will not have the E_Scan AESA radar.
http://www.fast-air.co.uk/typhoon-block ... e-summary/
Spud
The $99 mil is unit acquisition. For a 160 unit buy the NAO puts the unit production cost (equipment, development, testing) at $215 million. The NAO's UPD is most closely like the US flyaway cost which also includes development and systems costs. |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
count_to_10
|
Posted: Aug 21, 2012 - 12:28 AM
|
|
|
Elite 1K

Joined: Mar 10, 2012 - 03:38 PM
Posts: 1329
Status: Offline
|
| Why does it seems like you have to be more of an expert to evaluate the relative costs of aircraft than to evaluate which is actually more effective? |
_________________ Einstein got it backward: one cannot prevent a war without preparing for it.
|
|
|
|
 |
|
jeffb
|
Posted: Aug 21, 2012 - 01:11 AM
|
|
|
Banned
Joined: Feb 16, 2010 - 08:00 AM
Posts: 438
Location: Australia
Status: Offline
|
Back to the main topic - What would happen if the F35 got cancelled? After the tears, probably a lot more of this:
USAF planning F-15 modernization--pilots say displays need more work
By Dave Majumdar on August 17, 2012 10:06 PM
The USAF is modernizing its Boeing F-15 fleet--that includes both the C/D air superiority fighters and the multirole F-15E Strike Eagle.
The USAF is adding active electronically scanned array radar, new electronic warfare systems, and adding a new display computer to the jets amongst a host of other upgrades. The modifications are probably the first in a series of upgrades because the venerable fighter is going to be serving into the 2030s. Which is quite impressive considering the first F-15A prototype first flew on 27 July, 1972.
More at the jump:
http://www.flightglobal.com/blogs/the-d ... izati.html |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
Thumper3181
|
Posted: Aug 21, 2012 - 04:11 AM
|
|
|
Forum Veteran

Joined: Jun 23, 2006 - 06:49 AM
Posts: 626
Status: Offline
|
|
jeffb wrote:
Back to the main topic - What would happen if the F35 got cancelled? After the tears, probably a lot more of this:
USAF planning F-15 modernization--pilots say displays need more work
By Dave Majumdar on August 17, 2012 10:06 PM
The USAF is modernizing its Boeing F-15 fleet--that includes both the C/D air superiority fighters and the multirole F-15E Strike Eagle.
The USAF is adding active electronically scanned array radar, new electronic warfare systems, and adding a new display computer to the jets amongst a host of other upgrades. The modifications are probably the first in a series of upgrades because the venerable fighter is going to be serving into the 2030s. Which is quite impressive considering the first F-15A prototype first flew on 27 July, 1972.
More at the jump:
http://www.flightglobal.com/blogs/the-d ... izati.html
No doubt the F-15 is still quite impressive. with all the upgrades planned or implemented, the F-15C will continue to be a very potent front line air superiority fighter for years to come. In fact, teamed with the F-22 it will probably be unbeatable in most air superiority scenarios.
As impressive as it is, no new build F-15s will be F-35 replacements. If the F-35 is cancelled it will be cancelled because of cost. New build F-15s will cost upwards of $100 million each even if built in numbers. Add to that the extra maintenance costs of a heavy fighter and the fact that the fighter shortfall, as described above is not for air superiority but for the air force as an F-16 and A-10 replacement. The answer will not be F-15.
The F-16 as good as it is would not be the answer either. It is too small and it is at the end of its life in terms of ability to be upgraded. Keep in mind cost would be driving this. The remaining F-16s would be relegated to the ANG and a small fleet of A-10s would be re-engined and retained.
The air force like the Navy would by Super Hornets. Lots of Super Hornets. Maybe the upgrade the engines, maybe they fix the wing ejectors but at the numbers they would be buying the unit price would be well below 50 million and both the Air Force and Navy would be able to recapitalize their TACair fleets. The AF would not like it but the money saved in both acquisition and operating costs would be huge.
The Marines would also operate F-18s along with a number of Harriers which would be kept flying by using spares from the UK Harrier buy.
Money drives everything. |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
popcorn
|
Posted: Aug 21, 2012 - 04:43 AM
|
|
|
Elite 2K

Joined: Sep 24, 2008 - 09:55 AM
Posts: 2039
Status: Offline
|
| I'm assuming these upgraded F-15C/Ds the Golden Eagles? After,all the concerns,about Eagles breaking up in flight and restrictions on high G maneuvering, it's reassuring to know that structural concerns have been addressed. |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
USMilFan
|
Posted: Aug 21, 2012 - 07:57 AM
|
|
|
Enthusiast

Joined: Oct 18, 2006 - 12:21 AM
Posts: 57
Status: Offline
|
| But wouldn’t the consequences of cancellation depend on the reasons Congress might have for canceling? If Congress were to have good, solid reason for canceling, the consequences would likely be far less damaging than if Congress canceled for no good earthly reason, would they not? |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
JetTest
|
Posted: Aug 21, 2012 - 08:07 AM
|
|
|
Senior member

Joined: Jul 04, 2007 - 01:22 AM
Posts: 417
Status: Offline
|
| USMIL, sounds like you are trying to apply the "L" word (logic). That does not seem to work with some here. |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
jeffb
|
Posted: Aug 21, 2012 - 11:05 AM
|
|
|
Banned
Joined: Feb 16, 2010 - 08:00 AM
Posts: 438
Location: Australia
Status: Offline
|
|
Thumper3181 wrote:
jeffb wrote:
Back to the main topic - What would happen if the F35 got cancelled? After the tears, probably a lot more of this:
USAF planning F-15 modernization--pilots say displays need more work
By Dave Majumdar on August 17, 2012 10:06 PM
The USAF is modernizing its Boeing F-15 fleet--that includes both the C/D air superiority fighters and the multirole F-15E Strike Eagle.
The USAF is adding active electronically scanned array radar, new electronic warfare systems, and adding a new display computer to the jets amongst a host of other upgrades. The modifications are probably the first in a series of upgrades because the venerable fighter is going to be serving into the 2030s. Which is quite impressive considering the first F-15A prototype first flew on 27 July, 1972.
More at the jump:
http://www.flightglobal.com/blogs/the-d ... izati.html
No doubt the F-15 is still quite impressive. with all the upgrades planned or implemented, the F-15C will continue to be a very potent front line air superiority fighter for years to come. In fact, teamed with the F-22 it will probably be unbeatable in most air superiority scenarios.
As impressive as it is, no new build F-15s will be F-35 replacements. If the F-35 is cancelled it will be cancelled because of cost. New build F-15s will cost upwards of $100 million each even if built in numbers. Add to that the extra maintenance costs of a heavy fighter and the fact that the fighter shortfall, as described above is not for air superiority but for the air force as an F-16 and A-10 replacement. The answer will not be F-15.
The F-16 as good as it is would not be the answer either. It is too small and it is at the end of its life in terms of ability to be upgraded. Keep in mind cost would be driving this. The remaining F-16s would be relegated to the ANG and a small fleet of A-10s would be re-engined and retained.
The air force like the Navy would by Super Hornets. Lots of Super Hornets. Maybe the upgrade the engines, maybe they fix the wing ejectors but at the numbers they would be buying the unit price would be well below 50 million and both the Air Force and Navy would be able to recapitalize their TACair fleets. The AF would not like it but the money saved in both acquisition and operating costs would be huge.
The Marines would also operate F-18s along with a number of Harriers which would be kept flying by using spares from the UK Harrier buy.
Money drives everything.
Well it's a theory Thumper, a theory Boeing would be pretty happy with I'm thinking. Can't really see the USAF flying F-18s though.
I was surprised to see that they are extending the lives of the F15 fleet all the way out to 2030 though. You'd have to think they'd need another couple of rounds of upgrades to continue to be competitive out till then. Was that always the plan or are they adjusting in response to F35 delays? |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|