FY2020 DoD Budget

Program progress, politics, orders, and speculation
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marauder2048

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Unread post25 Jul 2019, 20:31

Even the Army version of "night court" was limited by the fact that Congress, after praising the process,
merely, in several cases, re-re-aligned the funds.
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weasel1962

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Unread post29 Jul 2019, 03:30

Reading the budget deal below. It would appear that the house appropriations version has passed and is now pending senate confirmation.
https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-con ... /3877/text

It appears also, the senate will have to pass this week without changing it.
https://www.govexec.com/management/2019 ... ts/158711/
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Corsair1963

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Unread post29 Jul 2019, 05:13

Writing is on the wall.......(for better or worse)
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wrightwing

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Unread post29 Jul 2019, 07:29

Corsair1963 wrote:As I've said over and over. Future US Defense Budgets are very likely to decrease in the coming years. Which, will make the case for the F-15EX harder and harder...

:?

They didn't decrease during the 8 years of the Obama administration, and financial crisis. If anything, the rate of growth will be slower or faster, but real cuts aren't likely.
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marauder2048

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Unread post29 Jul 2019, 19:29

wrightwing wrote:They didn't decrease during the 8 years of the Obama administration, and financial crisis.


I guess that depends on whose inflation indices you believe; NAVAIR's inflation indices (close to
what JPO uses for the F-35) for the Obama period were almost always higher (sometimes by 2x)
than the directives coming out of the Obama administration.
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weasel1962

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Unread post02 Aug 2019, 00:55

FY 2020 and 2021 budget passed by Senate with a veto-proof majority. Trump was going to sign anyway. Now the politicians can focus on elections.

https://www.defensenews.com/congress/20 ... ary-boost/
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wrightwing

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Unread post02 Aug 2019, 05:20

marauder2048 wrote:
wrightwing wrote:They didn't decrease during the 8 years of the Obama administration, and financial crisis.


I guess that depends on whose inflation indices you believe; NAVAIR's inflation indices (close to
what JPO uses for the F-35) for the Obama period were almost always higher (sometimes by 2x)
than the directives coming out of the Obama administration.

The rate of growth decreased, but there was stil growth .
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marauder2048

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Unread post02 Aug 2019, 07:07

wrightwing wrote:
marauder2048 wrote:
wrightwing wrote:They didn't decrease during the 8 years of the Obama administration, and financial crisis.


I guess that depends on whose inflation indices you believe; NAVAIR's inflation indices (close to
what JPO uses for the F-35) for the Obama period were almost always higher (sometimes by 2x)
than the directives coming out of the Obama administration.

The rate of growth decreased, but there was stil growth .


Not to dwell on this but:

Even NAVAIR's figures, which aren't typically released publicly, understated fighter cost
growth during the period IDA analyzed. Full CER is the best fit for actual costs; OMB used GDP.


price-index-comparison-fighters.png


Unfortunately, I didn't see IDA's promised extension of their methodology to missiles,
ground vehicles, and submarines and they didn't extend fighter analysis to the late Obama
period.
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