Forum: Program and politics

DAB to meet next week



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maus92
PostPosted: Jan 12, 2012 - 06:32 AM Reply with quote Back to top
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"Top weapons acquisition officials in the Pentagon will meet next week to hold the first of two planned reviews on restructuring the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program and setting new procurement and budget plans."

".... the reviews will lead to a new cost estimate for the overall program, one which may be significantly higher than the existing $382 billion estimate for research, development and production of the 2,400-plus jets the U.S. military plans to buy."

http://blogs.star-telegram.com/sky_talk ... plans.html
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velocityvector
PostPosted: Jan 12, 2012 - 08:00 AM Reply with quote Back to top
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P*wned again. Too big to fail. Just another day at The Office. Thanks, Dwight.
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quicksilver
PostPosted: Jan 12, 2012 - 02:51 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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Well DUH. If the government reduces buy numbers by 120 (or likely, more) and/or flattens the production ramp (most likely 'and'), then cost increases are the self-fulfilling consequence of those actions.
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sferrin
PostPosted: Jan 12, 2012 - 02:55 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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quicksilver wrote:
Well DUH. If the government reduces buy numbers by 120 (or likely, more) and/or flattens the production ramp (most likely 'and'), then cost increases are the self-fulfilling consequence of those actions.


It's amazing to me the number of people who continue to be stupified by this simple concept.

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battleshipagincourt
PostPosted: Jan 12, 2012 - 03:58 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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quicksilver wrote:
Well DUH. If the government reduces buy numbers by 120 (or likely, more) and/or flattens the production ramp (most likely 'and'), then cost increases are the self-fulfilling consequence of those actions.


Uh, no.

If unit costs+R&D are such that they can only afford 2280 fighters under the current $382 estimate, then buying 120 more fighters would mean something closer to $390 billion. Buying more jets to water down the unit price doesn't magically lower to overall program cost... it just means you get a lower unit price.

If the JSF program were becoming more expensive because they were getting more orders, that would be a good sign. If the program's cost estimate rise while unit orders get reduced... that's not so good.
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quicksilver
PostPosted: Jan 13, 2012 - 02:28 AM Reply with quote Back to top
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OMG Shocked
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