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F-22 Outmatched?



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delta-shred
PostPosted: Feb 18, 2010 - 03:12 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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Code3 wrote:
Something else to consider:

The MiG-29 is a very good and respectable aircraft that originally achieved parity with western aircraft in many respects; especially when western aircraft were armed with AIM-7s vs the MiG’s AA-10a. The reason it has suffered an abysmal combat record, as most of us know, is because of the man in the cockpit. Western tactics have always been about loose control and the flight-leads making decisions based on a game-plan that is executable in dynamic environments. On the other hand, the Russians have spent their years developing tactics based on very close control from GCI. Every time they change heading, altitude, airspeed, flip a switch in their cockpit, or fire a missile it is because GCI has told them to.

We all know it’s better to have the pilots making the decisions, especially in dynamic environments, because it takes the man-in-the-middle out of the equation and speeds up the decision making process and the execution of that decision…things that are very important in air combat. Western aircraft manufactures have for years known this and built avionics based on providing the pilots with as much information as possible, while simultaneously making it very easy to interpret that information.

Sensor fusion and advanced avionics are designed for western-style combat where the pilot needs the information to make his decisions. However, in many ways they are useless for countries that operate under close control (read countries that fly Russian aircraft). All the information is fairly worthless if you are not allowed to make decisions based on it.

If the PAK-FA does achieve the sensor fusion it is claiming, that in-and-of itself would be a remarkable feat considering they are newcomers to this field. However, if they actually find a way to present it to the pilot in ways that don’t overload the pilot and make things easier in a fluid tactical environment, instead of overwhelming him, that would be even more remarkable.

Now, if we give the PAK-FA the benefit of the doubt and say that it actually does accomplish these things in a manner that is on par with western standards, that is still only about 10% of the battle. The Russians would need to completely change their strategy and tactics from the ground up in order to allow the pilot to take advantage of these advances in the same way western pilots do. This will literally be about 10 times more difficult than developing the technologies. To develop the tactics to the level western air forces operate at would take decades (this is not an exageration). However, even if they had the tactics already developed, it would take a generation of pilots operating from the ground up under these new tactics before they would be fully implemented. My main point being: western air forces will still hold a huge advantage with regard to the man in the cockpit.

My guess is that the Russians will develop some good avionics, especially the radar, which may be able to compete with western aircraft within about a decade. However, they will not fuse them together in a way that will take full advantage of them and thus will not receive the synergistic benefits that make the advances so important. Furthermore, I don’t foresee the Russians moving away from close control any time soon. It is their bread-and-butter. They developed it and are incredibly prideful about it. Thus, all their hard technological work will be mostly wasted, except for the few air forces that buy Russian aircraft and follow a more western style of combat (read India).


Hey now, don't discredit a good GCI controller...I'm being biased here (mainly cause I am one lol) but yes, I agree with your main point that the flight lead having the hammer is better than 100% close control, however there are times when myself (having the God's Eye view) can be more directive in my calls because the pilot may have lost SA or become overwhelmed and needs that lextra directional cue to gain Mission Success or sanitize the airspace.
I'm not saying I'm the sh** or anything but a good GCI controller can be one of the pilots greatest assets in the air...which is why we have to know the fighters timeline, tactics, game plan and also why we brief and debrief with them...helps us become better controllers and a better asset to the fight.
Yes, the crutch of Russia has been the use of close control GCI but from the looks of it, with the gradual improvement of avionics, radar and tactics, they are slowly beginning to adopt a more western style of tactical control rather than exclusively close...however from the data I've read, they are still very behind the proverbial power curve compared to how we control and all the techniques we have developed...it has just become a modified close control.
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lampshade111
PostPosted: Feb 18, 2010 - 05:08 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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Hey, if we can work the PAK-FA into the new Mig-25 in order to justify more F-22s I am all for it.
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fiskerwad
PostPosted: Feb 18, 2010 - 05:27 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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Maybe we are going about all this all wrong? WHATIF they have a stealth plane so good that we know nothing about it and the T-50 is just the red herring?

OK, back on my meds....
fisk
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DarthAmerica
PostPosted: Feb 18, 2010 - 05:54 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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lampshade111 wrote:
Hey, if we can work the PAK-FA into the new Mig-25 in order to justify more F-22s I am all for it.


that's not going to justify more F-22s. If the PAK FA is what fanboys like APA say then F-22 is not enough. We'd have to accelerate F-X.

-DA
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Code3
PostPosted: Feb 18, 2010 - 06:05 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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delta-shred wrote:
Hey now, don't discredit a good GCI controller...I'm being biased here (mainly cause I am one lol) but yes, I agree with your main point that the flight lead having the hammer is better than 100% close control, however there are times when myself (having the God's Eye view) can be more directive in my calls because the pilot may have lost SA or become overwhelmed and needs that lextra directional cue to gain Mission Success or sanitize the airspace.
I'm not saying I'm the sh** or anything but a good GCI controller can be one of the pilots greatest assets in the air...which is why we have to know the fighters timeline, tactics, game plan and also why we brief and debrief with them...helps us become better controllers and a better asset to the fight.
Yes, the crutch of Russia has been the use of close control GCI but from the looks of it, with the gradual improvement of avionics, radar and tactics, they are slowly beginning to adopt a more western style of tactical control rather than exclusively close...however from the data I've read, they are still very behind the proverbial power curve compared to how we control and all the techniques we have developed...it has just become a modified close control.


Sorry Delta...I didn't mean to diminish the role of GCI, I hope it didn't come across that way. You are correct, a good GCI controller can help immensely, no doubt about it. However, the difference is that for a western air force your job is to build the picture rather than control the fight. You are an extra source of situational awareness (SA) for the pilot that aides in his decision making process (especially during cold-ops), but you are not the decision maker inserting yourself into the kill chain and slowing down the process. However, for a pilot to understand how important your job is, all they need is to fly with an inexperienced GCI controller...only then will a pilot appreciate how much SA a good GCI controller can provide, while on the other hand how much SA a bad GCI controller can take away.

For the Russians, either way it's bad for them. If they have a good controller they are still stuck with the lag of an extra party being involved in the kill chain as a result of their close-control philosophy. If they have a bad controller, not only do they have an extra party involved in the kill chain, but they are also experiencing a huge dump in SA associated with an inexperienced controller.

I would compare it to a person playing the "Madden" video game. The western style would be equivalent to the way we all play the game. You pick a play and then the computer runs it for you. In this scenario, you act as a coach (Mission Commander) and pick the play you want to run. Then you act as a quarterback (Flight Lead) and all your players (element leads and wingmen) execute the play at the snap without further direction from the QB. Then, the QB (FL) decides who to throw the ball to for the most effective play.

On the other hand, the close control that Russia operates under would be the equivalent of the player being required to control every player on the field by himself. The player would be responsible for controlling each lineman to make sure he blocked his man, controlling each reciever to run the correct route, and still making the decision for who the quarterback should throw the ball to while simultaneously controlling him too. You can imagine how difficult that would be, and that's what the Russians are stuck with. Even in a game like Madden where you have complete SA on where every defensive player is on the field and who they are covering, it is an impossible task to ask one person to control every offensive player vs. autonomous operations. Think of that like the PAK-FA...it can have incredible SA with all its sensors, but if it’s under close control where one man has to do it all, it still going to be a disaster.
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DarthAmerica
PostPosted: Feb 18, 2010 - 08:12 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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I think that in defense of GCI I'll say this. None of the Soviet clients have really duplicated the scale and redundancy of the Soviet system or their ability to secure it(IAD). So when you get a colossus like the US Military going up against an ant like Iraq who's hybrid system is set up to fight opponents on the scale of Israel or Iran for instance, it's not really indicative of how the Soviet or now Russian IAD would have worked since the later are much more advanced and capable. I think all available data suggest that NATO style western air forces would have performed well against the Soviets, but I also think the Soviet GCI style IAD system would have been far more formidable and an equivalent.

Lets think back to Viet Nam. The effect of ROE and politics can be said to have been the same as a very effective IAD capable of protecting the GCI. The Vietnamese/Soviets demonstrated the capability to inflict very serious losses with that system.

-DA
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hcobb
PostPosted: Mar 15, 2010 - 11:53 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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An F-22 pilot who somehow manages to dogfight the completed PAK-FA (ignoring for the moment that by the time the PAK-FA is fully developed the F-22A will have been retired due to airframe age issues), is making a grave mistake.

The F-22A lacks SAIRST and a helmet mounted sight, so CAN NOT make high off-boresight missile shots.

The F-22A will of course spot the PAK-FA well before the F-22A is spotted and so will always fire BVR (if allowed) and win every time.

The F-35 does have SAIRST and the helmet mounted sight and its superior sensors and stealth will allow it to beat the PAK-FA in a dogfight most of the time.

It's a pity that American F-35s will only outnumber the PAK-FAs of any one country by more than ten to one so very few American F-35 pilots will ever get to shoot down a PAK-FA.
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em745
PostPosted: Mar 16, 2010 - 07:28 AM Reply with quote Back to top
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hcobb wrote:
The F-22A lacks SAIRST and a helmet mounted sight, so CAN NOT make high off-boresight missile shots.

http://www.f-16.net/index.php?name=PNph ... 226#105226
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wrightwing
PostPosted: Mar 16, 2010 - 10:48 AM Reply with quote Back to top
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hcobb wrote:
An F-22 pilot who somehow manages to dogfight the completed PAK-FA (ignoring for the moment that by the time the PAK-FA is fully developed the F-22A will have been retired due to airframe age issues), is making a grave mistake.

The F-22A lacks SAIRST and a helmet mounted sight, so CAN NOT make high off-boresight missile shots.

The F-22A will of course spot the PAK-FA well before the F-22A is spotted and so will always fire BVR (if allowed) and win every time.

The F-35 does have SAIRST and the helmet mounted sight and its superior sensors and stealth will allow it to beat the PAK-FA in a dogfight most of the time.

It's a pity that American F-35s will only outnumber the PAK-FAs of any one country by more than ten to one so very few American F-35 pilots will ever get to shoot down a PAK-FA.


Just because the Raptor doesn't currently use a helmet sight, and AIM-9X, doesn't mean that it never will. A lot can change in the next 10-20yrs in terms of upgrades. It may also have IRST and cheek arrays at that point, as well, as well as the ability to use its MAWS for 360deg IR SA against aircraft as well as missiles.
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Scorpion1alpha
PostPosted: Mar 17, 2010 - 05:37 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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Just for the record, the F-22 WILL get the AIM-9X in about 5yrs (and testing before that). At around that time, the AIM-120D should also be operational.

For those that fought the F-22 before (both BFM and BVR) and thought it was bad before, wait until around 2015...

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DarthAmerica
PostPosted: Mar 17, 2010 - 06:57 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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I'd like to see it get something like MALI.

-DA
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outlaw162
PostPosted: Mar 17, 2010 - 11:18 PM Reply with quote Back to top
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http://www.malideveloper.com/documentat ... by-tes.php

SVS is getting some play in civil aircraft applications right now

OL
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bandit66
PostPosted: Mar 19, 2010 - 08:09 AM Reply with quote Back to top
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Scorpion1alpha wrote:
Just for the record, the F-22 WILL get the AIM-9X in about 5yrs (and testing before that). At around that time, the AIM-120D should also be operational.

For those that fought the F-22 before (both BFM and BVR) and thought it was bad before, wait until around 2015...



Actually, AIM-120D and the AIM-9X are both increment 3.2 and thus will begin testing close together (AIM-120D first). This all depends on current testing and how fast/long we get through increment 3.1 which could be as soon as 2 to 3 years.
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Rapec
PostPosted: Mar 19, 2010 - 11:48 AM Reply with quote Back to top
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Scorpion1alpha wrote:
Just for the record, the F-22 WILL get the AIM-9X in about 5yrs (and testing before that). At around that time, the AIM-120D should also be operational.


Just for the record, not all F-22's are supposed to get AIM-120D and AIM-9X. It will be the last 87 F-22s for sure. The future of rest of the fleet and AIM-120D/AIM-9X possibility depends on the greatest enemy of modern fighter plane - the money.

Regards
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checksixx
PostPosted: Mar 19, 2010 - 11:56 AM Reply with quote Back to top
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The AIM-120D is already in testing (live shots) and first flew on the F-22 back in 2006.
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