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tank_top wrote:
OK, quick science lesson (meaning I'm going to butcher science, I saw the math on this once). Our Galaxy is over 100,000 light years across, contains 200-400 billion stars is about 13 billion years old. The solar systems have to be in a very small area of the galaxy to survive (radiation). Only a small portion of the stars have planets, of those that could only a small portion have a planet that could support life (we're getting down to a about a hundred million). Of those many would have been killed by asteroids and other phenomena (now about 50 million). Of those an even smaller amount may have had life (maybe 100,000 but who knows), now here is where it gets interesting. The star and planet would have to be the right age to form life and during the life of our Galaxy there is a small window in which this could occur. Out of maybe 100,000 only a very small fraction would have intelligent life (only one on earth out of how many species) on the optimistic side we're down to maybe 5,000 intelligent life forms in our galaxy, sounds like a lot? Well out of those 5,000 they are spread over about a 2 billion year span and a 1 with a sh!t load of zero's after it cubic area. First the chances of an intelligent life life form evolving at a similar time line as ours brings the number down to about 100 (the rest have already died out or aren't crawling out of the primordial soup). Now those 100 are spread over an area so large they would never find each other during their existence even if they could travel at 100 times the speed of light. Scientists believe at the rate science and humans are evolving within about a thousand years electronics and man will have become one, computer human interface will accelerate so fast we will not be able to recognize our future selves, and our future selves will have mastered the past, they really won't give a rip about us, we're just curious because we are just starting to learn. In other words if there is life out there the chances of us ever finding it is trillions to one and that's generous!
The future of mankind if we survive: Pretty soon we will have computer implants in our brains and be able to communicate with computers via thought (this isn't that far away). Then we will begin to communicate with each other, within a hundred years of that happening speech will die completely, it will be to slow! Computer implants will get faster, so we will begin to genetically modify ourselves to interact with the implants faster. A couple hundred years later we will master the human body and improve on it radically, disease will be gone and we will begin making synthetic body parts that can be replaced or which do not wear out, in essence we will live forever. Within a couple hundred years of this human brains and electronics will be one, we will be communicating at the speed of light with thousands of people simultaneously. We will be discovering things about the universe we never imagined. Now stop for a second and think about these people stopping to talk with us. It would be like having a conversation with a cockroach. A civilization this advanced would not bother to stop and talk to us, nor would we even recognize them as anything resembling life as we know it.
If there is life out there we will never find it, it will never find us, and if it does happen one party won't care about the other.!
Interesting thoughts, to be honest though---I bet that in a thousand years we will be more advanced then that. I dont even doubt it. It was like in the 50's when they said in the year 2000 home computers would be just small enough to fit into a room----they weren't even close. Just look at Stargate SG-1 and the replicators, possibly a whole new race of electronics could form----but now we are just dreaming a little too much. |